Rating CEDR=3555
Timestamp: 1663398787
Simplify trend and optimism.
This patch simplifies the formulas used to compute the trend and optimism values before each search iteration. As a side effect, this removes the parameters which make the relationship between the displayed evaluation value and the expected game result asymmetric.
I've also provided links to the results of isotonic regression analysis of the relationship between the evaluation and game result (statistical data and a graph) for both tests, which demonstrate that the new version has a more symmetric relationship:
STC: [Data and graph](https://github.com/official-stockfish/Stockfish/discussions/4150#discussioncomment-3548954)
LTC: [Data and graph](https://github.com/official-stockfish/Stockfish/discussions/4150#discussioncomment-3626311)
See also https://github.com/official-stockfish/Stockfish/issues/4142
passed STC:
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/view/6313f44b8202a039920e27e6
LLR: 2.96 (-2.94,2.94) <-1.75,0.25>
Total: 108016 W: 28903 L: 28760 D: 50353 Elo +0.46
Ptnml(0-2): 461, 12075, 28850, 12104, 518
passed LTC:
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/view/631de45db85daa436625dfe6
LLR: 3.01 (-2.94,2.94) <-1.75,0.25>
Total: 34792 W: 9412 L: 9209 D: 16171 Elo +2.03
Ptnml(0-2): 24, 3374, 10397, 3577, 24
Furthermore, this does not measurably impact Elo strength against weaker engines,
as demonstrated in a match of master and patch vs SF13:
This patch vs SF 13:
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/view/631fa34ae1612778c344c6eb
Elo: 141.66 +-1.2 (95%) LOS: 100.0%
Total: 100000 W: 48182 L: 9528 D: 42290 Elo +141.66
Ptnml(0-2): 96, 1426, 13277, 30130, 5071
nElo: 284.13 +-3.3 (95%) PairsRatio: 23.13
Master vs SF 13:
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/view/631fa3ece1612778c344c6ff
Elo: 143.26 +-1.2 (95%) LOS: 100.0%
Total: 100000 W: 48525 L: 9479 D: 41996 Elo +143.26
Ptnml(0-2): 94, 1537, 13098, 29771, 5500
nElo: 281.70 +-3.3 (95%) PairsRatio: 21.63
closes: https://github.com/official-stockfish/Stockfish/pull/4163
Bench: 4425574
Download:
Windows x64 for Haswell CPUs
Windows x64 for modern computers + AVX2
Windows x64 for modern computers
Windows x64 + SSSE3
Windows x64
Linux x64 for Haswell CPUs
Linux x64 for modern computers + AVX2
Linux x64 for modern computers
Linux x64 + SSSE3
Linux x64
Windows x64 for modern computers + AVX2
Windows x64 for modern computers
Windows x64 + SSSE3
Windows x64
Linux x64 for Haswell CPUs
Linux x64 for modern computers + AVX2
Linux x64 for modern computers
Linux x64 + SSSE3
Linux x64
Comments
Post a Comment